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7Binary Classification · MAX Aggregation

Replenishment Intelligence

For each subscriber, will their largest single order exceed $200 in the next 30 days?

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A real-world example

For each subscriber, will their largest single order exceed $200 in the next 30 days?

MAX focuses on the peak value, not the total or average. A subscriber likely to make a single large purchase should receive premium upgrade offers before they buy at full price. Traditional models predict average spend or total volume, missing the high-value spikes that signal upgrade readiness. A subscriber whose average order is $45 but who is about to place a $280 order represents a premium conversion opportunity — but only if you detect the spike before it happens. Missing these signals means losing upsell revenue and letting customers pay full price when a targeted offer would have driven loyalty.

How KumoRFM solves this

Relational intelligence for revenue growth

Kumo's PQL uses MAX aggregation to predict the peak single-order value, not the sum or average. The graph transformer learns from subscriber metadata, order history, and product category patterns to identify subscribers approaching a large purchase. The model discovers that Subscriber SUB-2201 (plan: Premium, recent orders trending from $120 to $180) has an 84% probability of exceeding $200 in their next peak order, signaling the perfect moment for a premium bundle offer.

From data to predictions

See the full pipeline in action

Connect your tables, write a PQL query, and get predictions with built-in explainability — all in minutes, not months.

1

Your data

The relational tables Kumo learns from

SUBSCRIBERS

subscriber_idnameplansignup_date
SUB-2201A. ChenPremium2023-09-01
SUB-2202K. PatelStandard2024-04-15
SUB-2203M. TorresBasic2024-11-20

ORDERS

order_idsubscriber_idamountcategorytimestamp
ORD-7701SUB-2201$180Premium Box2025-01-02
ORD-7702SUB-2201$120Add-on2025-01-08
ORD-7703SUB-2202$45Standard Box2025-01-05
ORD-7704SUB-2203$22Basic Box2025-01-10
ORD-7705SUB-2201$165Premium Box2025-01-15
2

Write your PQL query

Describe what to predict in 2–3 lines — Kumo handles the rest

PQL
PREDICT MAX(ORDERS.AMOUNT, 0, 30, days) > 200
FOR EACH SUBSCRIBERS.SUBSCRIBER_ID
3

Prediction output

Every entity gets a score, updated continuously

SUBSCRIBER_IDTIMESTAMPTARGET_PREDTrue_PROB
SUB-22012025-02-01True0.84
SUB-22022025-02-01False0.18
SUB-22032025-02-01False0.06
4

Understand why

Every prediction includes feature attributions — no black boxes

Subscriber SUB-2201

Predicted: True (84% probability of $200+ peak order)

Top contributing features

Peak order value trend (60d)

$120 → $180

38% attribution

Premium category purchase ratio

67% premium

25% attribution

Subscription plan

Premium

17% attribution

Order frequency (30d)

3 orders

13% attribution

Account tenure

16 months

7% attribution

Feature attributions are computed automatically for every prediction. No separate tooling required. Learn more about Kumo explainability

Bottom line: Kumo's MAX aggregation predicts peak single-order values — not averages or totals — identifying subscribers ready for premium upgrades before they buy at full price. Targeted offers at the right moment drive loyalty and incremental revenue.

Topics covered

replenishment prediction AIMAX aggregation predictionpeak order value predictionsubscription intelligence AIsubscriber upgrade predictionKumoRFMgraph neural network subscriptionAI replenishment modelsubscription box optimizationpremium upgrade prediction

One Platform. One Model. Predict Instantly.

KumoRFM

Relational Foundation Model

Turn structured relational data into predictions in seconds. KumoRFM delivers zero-shot predictions that rival months of traditional data science. No training, feature engineering, or infrastructure required. Just connect your data and start predicting.

For critical use cases, fine-tune KumoRFM on your data using the Kumo platform and Data Science Agent for 30%+ higher accuracy than traditional models.

Book a demo and get a free trial of the full platform: data science agent, fine-tune capabilities, and forward-deployed engineer support.