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1Binary Classification · Readmission Risk

Readmission Prediction

Which patients will be readmitted within 30 days?

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A real-world example

Which patients will be readmitted within 30 days?

CMS penalizes hospitals up to 3% of Medicare reimbursements for excess readmissions. For a 400-bed hospital processing 25,000 discharges per year, each avoidable readmission costs $15,000 on average. A 15% reduction in 30-day readmissions saves $5.6M annually in penalties and direct care costs. Traditional LACE scores miss the cross-patient signals hidden in shared providers, medication overlaps, and procedure histories.

How KumoRFM solves this

Graph-learned clinical intelligence across your entire patient network

Kumo builds a heterogeneous graph across patients, encounters, diagnoses, procedures, and medications. It learns that patients sharing the same attending physician with specific procedure-diagnosis combinations have correlated readmission risk. The model captures medication interaction patterns across the patient network, not just individual patient features. One PQL query replaces months of manual feature engineering across siloed EHR tables.

From data to predictions

See the full pipeline in action

Connect your tables, write a PQL query, and get predictions with built-in explainability — all in minutes, not months.

1

Your data

The relational tables Kumo learns from

PATIENTS

patient_idagegenderinsurance
P100172MMedicare
P100258FCommercial
P100381MMedicare

ENCOUNTERS

encounter_idpatient_idadmit_datedischarge_datetype
E5001P10012025-02-102025-02-16Inpatient
E5002P10022025-02-202025-02-23Inpatient
E5003P10032025-02-252025-03-02Inpatient

DIAGNOSES

diagnosis_idencounter_idicd10_codedescription
D001E5001I50.9Heart failure, unspecified
D002E5002J44.1COPD with acute exacerbation
D003E5003N18.6End-stage renal disease

PROCEDURES

procedure_idencounter_idcpt_codedescription
PR001E500193306Echocardiogram
PR002E500294640Nebulizer treatment
PR003E500390935Hemodialysis

MEDICATIONS

rx_idpatient_iddrug_namestart_dateactive
RX01P1001Furosemide 40mg2025-02-10Y
RX02P1002Albuterol inhaler2025-02-20Y
RX03P1003Epoetin alfa2025-01-15Y
2

Write your PQL query

Describe what to predict in 2–3 lines — Kumo handles the rest

PQL
PREDICT BOOL(ENCOUNTERS.*, 0, 30, days)
FOR EACH PATIENTS.PATIENT_ID
WHERE ENCOUNTERS.TYPE = 'Inpatient'
3

Prediction output

Every entity gets a score, updated continuously

PATIENT_IDDISCHARGE_DATEREADMIT_30DPROBABILITY
P10012025-02-16True0.74
P10022025-02-23False0.18
P10032025-03-02True0.89
4

Understand why

Every prediction includes feature attributions — no black boxes

Patient P1003 -- 81yo Male, ESRD

Predicted: True (89% readmission probability)

Top contributing features

Number of inpatient encounters (last 90d)

4 visits

31% attribution

Active high-risk medication count

7 drugs

24% attribution

Shared-provider readmission rate

34%

18% attribution

Diagnosis complexity (HCC score)

3.2

15% attribution

Days between last two admissions

12 days

12% attribution

Feature attributions are computed automatically for every prediction. No separate tooling required. Learn more about Kumo explainability

Bottom line: A 400-bed hospital reducing 30-day readmissions by 15% saves $5.6M per year in CMS penalties and direct care costs. Kumo learns cross-patient signals from shared providers, medication overlaps, and procedure patterns that LACE scores miss entirely.

Topics covered

hospital readmission prediction30-day readmission AICMS readmission penaltypatient readmission modelEHR predictive analyticsgraph neural network healthcareKumoRFM readmissionrelational deep learning clinicalreadmission risk scoring

One Platform. One Model. Predict Instantly.

KumoRFM

Relational Foundation Model

Turn structured relational data into predictions in seconds. KumoRFM delivers zero-shot predictions that rival months of traditional data science. No training, feature engineering, or infrastructure required. Just connect your data and start predicting.

For critical use cases, fine-tune KumoRFM on your data using the Kumo platform and Data Science Agent for 30%+ higher accuracy than traditional models.

Book a demo and get a free trial of the full platform: data science agent, fine-tune capabilities, and forward-deployed engineer support.