Introducing Kumo Online Serving: Real-time predictions from real-time signals

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17Backward Binary · Victim DetectionBank + Crypto

Detect Pig Butchering Victims

Among accounts with escalating deposits to crypto exchanges over 90 days, which will make another large deposit in the next 14 days?

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A real-world example

Among accounts with escalating deposits to crypto exchanges over 90 days, which will make another large deposit in the next 14 days?

$3.6B US losses in 2023. Victims groomed on dating apps are directed to fake crypto platforms. Signature: escalating deposits over weeks. Chen Zhi / Prince Group ($12B seized). A 15-minute welfare call costs $25; the average victim loses $150K. Banks have a duty-of-care obligation.

How KumoRFM solves this

Graph-powered fraud intelligence

Kumo’s backward window identifies the escalation pattern: A001 deposited $2K (Nov), $5K (Dec), $15K (Jan) — all to crypto exchanges. The model predicts another $5K+ deposit within 14 days with 87% probability. The relational graph reveals the pattern: increasing amounts, decreasing time between deposits, all flowing to the same exchange category.

From data to predictions

See the full pipeline in action

Connect your tables, write a PQL query, and get predictions with built-in explainability — all in minutes, not months.

1

Your data

The relational tables Kumo learns from

Accounts

account_idaccount_holderaccount_typeage_bracket
A001Jane D.Retail55-64
A002Mark R.Retail35-44

Transactions

txn_idaccount_idamountdestination_typetimestamp
T001A0012,000crypto_exchange2024-11-05
T002A0015,000crypto_exchange2024-12-10
T003A00115,000crypto_exchange2025-01-08
2

Write your PQL query

Describe what to predict in 2-3 lines — Kumo handles the rest

PQL
PREDICT SUM(TRANSACTIONS.AMOUNT WHERE TRANSACTIONS.DESTINATION_TYPE = 'crypto_exchange', 0, 14, days) > 5000
FOR EACH ACCOUNTS.ACCOUNT_ID
WHERE SUM(TRANSACTIONS.AMOUNT WHERE TRANSACTIONS.DESTINATION_TYPE = 'crypto_exchange', -90, 0, days) > 3000
3

Prediction output

Every entity gets a score, updated continuously

ACCOUNT_IDTIMESTAMPTARGET_PREDTrue_PROB
A0012025-02-01True0.87
A0022025-02-01True0.73
A0032025-02-01False0.05
4

Understand why

Every prediction includes feature attributions — no black boxes

Account A001 (Jane D.)

Predicted: 87% probability of next $5K+ crypto deposit

Top contributing features

Crypto exchange deposits (90d sum)

$22,000

39% attribution

Deposit escalation rate

2.5x per month

26% attribution

Destination type consistency

100% crypto_exchange

17% attribution

Account age_bracket

55-64

11% attribution

Account type

Retail

7% attribution

Feature attributions are computed automatically for every prediction. No separate tooling required. Learn more about Kumo explainability

Bottom line: Trigger customer welfare outreach on escalation patterns. A 15-minute call costs $25; average victim loses $150K. Banks have a duty-of-care obligation.

Topics covered

pig butchering scam detectionromance scam preventioncrypto fraud detectiongraph neural networkmachine learning fraud preventionblockchain analyticsKumoRFMpredictive AIAI explainabilityfraud loss reductionvictim protection