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3Link Prediction · Fraud Ring DetectionBank

Detect Fraud Ring Connections

For each flagged account, which other accounts will it transact with in the next 30 days?

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A real-world example

For each flagged account, which other accounts will it transact with in the next 30 days?

Fraud rings operate through networks of connected accounts. Investigators manually trace connections after fraud occurs. If you could predict the next accounts a flagged entity will transact with, you could proactively freeze or monitor the receiving accounts before funds move. Average fraud ring involves 8–12 accounts; recovering funds after movement drops below 20%.

How KumoRFM solves this

Graph-powered fraud intelligence

Kumo’s link prediction identifies which specific accounts from your database will form new transaction connections. It analyzes shared beneficiaries, common merchants, timing patterns, and account creation sequences to predict that A001 will send funds to A045 — a recently opened shell company account.

From data to predictions

See the full pipeline in action

Connect your tables, write a PQL query, and get predictions with built-in explainability — all in minutes, not months.

1

Your data

The relational tables Kumo learns from

Flagged Accounts

account_idflag_reasonrisk_scoreflag_date
A001SAR filed922025-01-05
A002ATO attempt872025-01-10
A003Structuring782025-01-08

Transfers

transfer_idsender_idreceiver_idamounttimestamp
TR01A001A0459,8002025-01-10
TR02A001A0784,5002025-01-12
TR03A002A04515,2002025-01-11

Accounts

account_idaccount_holderaccount_typeopen_date
A045Shell Corp XBusiness2024-11-20
A078J. DoePersonal2024-12-01
2

Write your PQL query

Describe what to predict in 2-3 lines — Kumo handles the rest

PQL
PREDICT LIST_DISTINCT(TRANSFERS.RECEIVER_ID, 0, 30, days)
FOR EACH FLAGGED_ACCOUNTS.ACCOUNT_ID
3

Prediction output

Every entity gets a score, updated continuously

ACCOUNT_IDCLASSSCORETIMESTAMP
A001A0450.942025-02-01
A001A0780.812025-02-01
A002A0450.892025-02-01
4

Understand why

Every prediction includes feature attributions — no black boxes

Account A001 → A045

Predicted: 94% link probability

Top contributing features

Shared transfer history (count)

3 prior transfers

36% attribution

Receiver account age (days)

72 days

24% attribution

Sender risk score

92

20% attribution

Transfer amount velocity (7d)

$14,300

12% attribution

Receiver account type

Business (shell)

8% attribution

Feature attributions are computed automatically for every prediction. No separate tooling required. Learn more about Kumo explainability

Bottom line: Uncover 3–5 connected accounts per flagged entity. Freeze downstream accounts before funds move. Recover 40–60% more fraud losses.

Topics covered

fraud ring detectionlink prediction fraudgraph neural networkfinancial crime detectionfraud network analysisanti-fraud AIKumoRFMpredictive query languageexplainable AI fraudbanking fraud preventioncoordinated fraud detectionmachine learning fraud detection

One Platform. One Model. Predict Instantly.

KumoRFM

Relational Foundation Model

Turn structured relational data into predictions in seconds. KumoRFM delivers zero-shot predictions that rival months of traditional data science. No training, feature engineering, or infrastructure required. Just connect your data and start predicting.

For critical use cases, fine-tune KumoRFM on your data using the Kumo platform and Data Science Agent for 30%+ higher accuracy than traditional models.

Book a demo and get a free trial of the full platform: data science agent, fine-tune capabilities, and forward-deployed engineer support.